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Feb 28, 2026 Polymarket users placed suspicious insider bets on Iran strike hours before it became public Tier 1 · Primary Economic Structure
Anonymous accounts profited from apparent advance knowledge of a classified military strike, raising national security and insider-trading concerns.
Supporting reports
- Six newly-created accounts on Polymarket placed nearly $1 million in bets predicting U.S. strike on Iran hours before it occurred — In the hours before the February 28 U.S. strike on Iran, six newly-created accounts on the prediction market Polymarket placed nearly $1 million in bets that the U.S. would strike Iran by that date. One account, "dicedicedice," wagered nearly $30,000 and recorded a profit of about $120,000 hours later. Analytics sites flagged the trades as suspicious, with many observers suspecting the accounts benefited from insider knowledge. The international version of Polymarket does not require user identification and accepts crypto payments. Overall, $529 million was traded on Iran strike-related contracts. The White House denied anyone in Trump's orbit was involved, though Donald Trump Jr. serves as an advisor to both Polymarket and rival Kalshi.
- Polymarket account made $515,000 betting on Iran strikes before public announcement — A Polymarket account named "Magamyman" made $515,000 in a single day betting on the US strike on Iran, with the first trade placed 71 minutes before the news broke publicly. When the account bought in, the market had the strike at a 17% probability; the account turned roughly $87,000 into over half a million dollars overnight. Representative Mike Levin (D-CA) noted that Donald Trump Jr. sits on Polymarket's advisory board and his firm invested double-digit millions into the platform in the previous year. The DOJ and CFTC had active investigations into Polymarket that were dropped after Trump took office.
- DOJ and CFTC dropped investigations into Polymarket after Trump took office — The DOJ and CFTC had active investigations into Polymarket that were dropped after Trump took office. This occurred in the context of the suspicious trading activity on the Iran strikes and Trump Jr.'s financial interest in the platform.
Dec 22, 2025 Todd Blanche ended crypto-related investigations while personally holding over $150,000 in crypto investments Corroborated Economic Structure
The Deputy Attorney General's financial interest in cryptocurrency while directing an end to related investigations represents a clear conflict of interest.
Supporting reports
- ProPublica reports Deputy AG Blanche held crypto investments while ending investigations — ProPublica reported that Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche held more than $150,000 in crypto investments when he issued a memo one month into his tenure to end investigations into crypto companies, dealers, and exchanges initiated during the Biden administration. A former White House ethics lawyer called the situation "an obvious conflict of interest."
May 17, 2025 The FBI deprioritized white-collar crime and shifted field office time toward immigration enforcement Tier 1 · Primary Economic Structure
The shift reduced state attention to financial misconduct and redirected enforcement capacity away from corruption and corporate accountability.
Supporting reports
- FBI Director comments on crime prioritization — FBI Director Kash Patel confirmed that agents have been instructed to deprioritize white-collar crime in favor of focusing on narcotics and sex trafficking, indicating a shift in law enforcement priorities.
- FBI deprioritizes white-collar crime investigations — The FBI ordered agents to deprioritize investigations related to white-collar crime in favor of immigration enforcement, directing field offices to allocate one-third of their time to immigration crackdowns.
May 2, 2025 The Trump administration paused Foreign Corrupt Practices Act prosecutions and closed the Justice Department’s cryptocurrency unit Corroborated Economic Structure
The enforcement pullback reduced legal risk for corporate and financial misconduct, weakening anti-corruption market rules.
Supporting reports
- DoJ closes cryptocurrency unit amid political pressure — In April, the Department of Justice abruptly closed its cryptocurrency unit, which had been active since 2022 in prosecuting criminal schemes involving North Korean hackers. The closure followed criticism from cryptocurrency leaders who supported Trump's campaign, raising concerns about the influence of political donations on law enforcement priorities.
- DoJ halts prosecutions under Foreign Corrupt Practices Act — The Department of Justice, under Attorney General Pam Bondi, has paused prosecutions of businesses charged with violating the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) for six months. This decision aligns with President Trump's agenda and has sparked criticism for potentially favoring business interests over legal accountability, further indicating the politicization of the justice department.
Apr 7, 2025 DOJ disbanded the National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team and narrowed crypto-related prosecutions Tier 1 · Primary Economic Structure
The Justice Department eliminated its specialized crypto-fraud enforcement unit, reducing law-enforcement capacity to investigate financial crime in the sector.
Supporting reports
- Trump administration disbands DOJ cryptocurrency enforcement team — The Department of Justice announced on April 7 that it was disbanding the national cryptocurrency enforcement team established in 2022, which had prosecuted high-profile cases against North Korean hackers and crypto criminals. The memo stated DOJ is not a "digital assets regulator" and blamed the Biden administration's "reckless strategy of regulation by prosecution," citing a January Trump executive order on crypto as the impetus for the decision.
- Deputy Attorney General disbanded National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team — Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche sent a memo to DOJ staff informing them that the agency is disbanding its National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team. The DOJ is also ordering prosecutors to narrow their crypto investigations to focus on drug cartels and terrorist groups.
- DOJ disbands National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team — Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche issued a memo on Monday evening directing the immediate dissolution of the Department of Justice's National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team (NCET). The memo stated the unit "shall be disbanded effective immediately" and instructed that ongoing investigations "inconsistent" with new policy should be closed. The decision aligns with a Trump executive order promoting access to blockchain networks "without persecution" and reflects the administration's shift toward easing crypto regulation while narrowing DOJ enforcement in the sector.
Feb 10, 2025 Trump signed executive orders pausing enforcement of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act for 180 days Tier 1 · Primary Economic Structure
Suspending enforcement of an anti-bribery law weakened accountability for corporate corruption abroad, benefiting business interests over rule of law.
Supporting reports
- Trump signs executive order pausing FCPA enforcement — President Trump signed an executive order directing the Department of Justice to pause enforcement of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), which prohibits American companies from bribing foreign officials to obtain or retain business. This move could undermine efforts to prevent public corruption and maintain the rule of law in international business practices.
- Executive Order Pauses FCPA Enforcement — President Donald J. Trump issued Executive Order 14209, pausing enforcement of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) for 180 days to review guidelines and policies. The order aims to enhance American economic competitiveness and national security by reducing barriers to commerce abroad. The Attorney General is tasked with reviewing and potentially revising FCPA enforcement actions and guidelines during this period.
- Trump halts enforcement of Foreign Corrupt Practices Act — President Donald Trump signed an executive order directing the Department of Justice to halt prosecutions under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), which bans bribery of foreign officials. The order requires the Attorney General to pause these prosecutions until new enforcement guidance is issued, aimed at promoting American competitiveness. This move has been criticized by anti-corruption groups, who argue it undermines the US's leadership in fighting global corruption. The FCPA has been instrumental in significant corporate cases, including actions against Goldman Sachs.
- Trump Pauses FCPA Enforcement — President Donald Trump issued an executive order pausing enforcement of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) for 180 days. The order directs the Attorney General to cease new FCPA investigations and review existing ones, with the possibility of extending the review period for another 180 days. The order aims to enhance American economic competitiveness and national security by reducing perceived overreach in FCPA enforcement, which Trump argues impedes U.S. foreign policy objectives.
- White House issued executive order pausing Foreign Corrupt Practices Act enforcement — The White House issued an executive order on February 10, 2025, directing the Attorney General to cease initiating new FCPA investigations and enforcement actions for 180 days while reviewing enforcement guidelines. The order states that FCPA enforcement "harms the interests of the United States" and "impedes" foreign policy objectives. The Attorney General is instructed to review existing investigations and issue revised guidelines prioritizing "American economic competitiveness" and "Presidential foreign policy prerogatives." The order characterizes current FCPA enforcement as "overexpansive" and claims it wastes prosecutorial resources.
- White House issues fact sheet on FCPA enforcement pause — The White House issued a fact sheet on February 10, 2025, announcing that President Trump signed an executive order directing the Attorney General to pause Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) enforcement actions and issue revised enforcement guidance. The fact sheet states that past and existing FCPA actions will be reviewed, and future investigations and enforcement must be approved by the Attorney General. The document frames the pause as necessary to restore American competitiveness and national security.
- Trump signs executive order pausing Foreign Corrupt Practices Act — President Trump signed an executive order pausing the enforcement of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, which prohibits bribery of foreign officials. This suspension could lead to increased corruption in international business dealings.
- Trump signed executive order pausing prosecutions under Foreign Corrupt Practices Act — On February 10, 2025, Trump signed an executive order directing the DOJ to halt prosecutions of Americans accused of bribing foreign government officials. Attorney General Pam Bondi was instructed to pause prosecutions under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act of 1977 until she issues revised enforcement guidance promoting American competitiveness. Trump stated the action would "mean a lot more business for America." The White House claimed the law disadvantages US firms compared to foreign competitors.
Jan 31, 2025 reporting on Billy Long revealed that donors with pending IRS tax issues paid off the campaign debt of Trump's IRS nominee shortly after his nomination Corroborated Economic Structure
A pattern of donations from people with matters before the IRS to the agency's incoming leader raises serious concerns about corruption and conflicts of interest.
Supporting reports
- Billy Long's campaign debt paid off by donors with tax issues pending before IRS — Billy Long, Trump's nominee to run the IRS, had his 2022 campaign debt paid off by donors who have current tax issues pending before the IRS. Long had loaned $130,000 to his unsuccessful 2022 Senate campaign and was personally liable for over $100,000 of that debt. Shortly after Trump announced Long as his IRS nominee, Long's dormant campaign committee raised $137,000 in under three weeks in January 2025. Two-thirds of the donations were at the maximum allowed amount of $2,900, and one-third came from donors in the tax consultant industry or people with tax-related legal issues. Long used the funds to reimburse himself for his campaign loan.